2016-17年度孟加拉国棉花进口量上涨3%

Imports by Bangladesh are forecast to rise by 3 per cent to 1.4 million tons in 2016-17

The world cotton mill use is expected to surpass world production for the third consecutive season in 2017-18. World consumption is projected to increase by 2 per cent to 24.6 million tons as world economic growth recovers in 2017 and 2018. Mill use in China is forecast to increase by 1 per cent to 7.7 million tons, accounting for 30 per cent of world cotton consumption. After decreasing by 3 per cent to 5.1 million tons in 2016-17, India’s consumption is forecast to recover by 2 per cent to 5.2 million tons due to competitive prices for its cotton yarn products, expanding capacity and the resolution of the consequences of demonetisation. Mill use in Pakistan may grow by 1 per cent to 2.3 million tons due to new incentives for textile exports offered by the government. Bangladesh’s cotton consumption is projected to expand by 5 per cent to 1.5 million tons, making it the fourth largest in 2017-18.

World cotton trade is projected up by 5 per cent to 7.9 million tons in 2016-17, after declines during the previous three seasons. Imports by Bangladesh are forecast to rise by 3 per cent to 1.4 million tons in 2016-17, while imports by Vietnam should increase by 16 per cent to 1.2 million tons. Imports by China, now the world’s third largest cotton importer, are expected to increase by 3 per cent to 987,000 tons. Exports from the United States are projected to increase by 53 per cent to 3 million tons and are likely to account for 38 per cent of world exports in 2016-17. However, India’s exports are projected to decrease by 30 per cent to 886,000 tons.

In April 2017, sales from China’s reserve reached 404,000 tons, which is slightly lower than the total volume sold in March 2017 of 466,000 tons. At the end of 2016-17, China’s total stocks are projected to have fallen by 17 per cent to 9.3 million tons. World ending stocks in 2016-17, are expected to decline by 7 per cent to 17.4 million tons, and in 2017-18, by 5 per cent to 16.4 million tons, the report said. (RKS)

译文如下：

2016-17年度孟加拉国棉花进口量上涨3%

2017-18年度全球棉花消费量预计将连续第三个赛季超过全球棉花产量。由于2017年和2018年世界经济增长开始复苏，全球棉花消费量预计将增加2%至2460万吨。中国棉花消费量预计将增加1%至770万吨，占全球棉花消费的30%。2016-17年印度棉花消费量下降3%至510万吨，由于棉纱产品具有竞争力且产能扩大，2017-18年度印度棉花消费量上涨2%至520万吨。由于政府对纺织品出口出台新的激励措施，巴基斯坦棉花消费量或将上涨1%至230万吨。2017-18年度孟加拉国的棉花消费量预计将增长5%至150万吨，使其成为第四大棉花消费国。

全球棉花贸易在连续三个赛季下降后，2016-17年度全球棉花贸易上涨5%至790万吨。孟加拉国棉花进口量预计将增长3%至140万吨，越南预计上涨16%至120万吨。中国作为世界上第三大棉花进口国，预计将增加3%至98.7万吨。美国棉花出口预计将增加53%至300万吨，或将占全球出口的38%。然而，印度的出口预计将减少30%至88.6万吨。

2017年4月，中国储备棉销量达到40.4万吨，略低于2017年3月46.6万吨的销售总量。2016年底，中国棉花库存预计下降了17%至930万吨。全球棉花库存预计下降7%至1740万吨，2017-18年度预计下降5%至1640万吨。

(编译：杨朝霞)