内增外涨，印度棉价上升

作者:本网报道 | 时间:2011-11-07 10:14:18 | 订阅《东方纺织》周刊

Cotton prices rise in India on export & domestic demand
In the last few days, the prices of cotton have risen in India owing to demand in both the export and domestic markets. Lower arrivals due to delay in monsoon and insufficient inventory with ginning mills have also contributed to increase in the price of cotton.
The price of Shankar-6 variety of cotton has shot up to around Rs. 40,000 a candy of 356 kg from around Rs. 38,000 a candy a month earlier. The prices of H-4 and LRA varieties of cotton, too, have increased by more than Rs. 1,000 a candy.
“With the factories going operational once again, there is demand for cotton in the export market as well as in the domestic spinning market and the cotton rates have increased by about Rs. 100-150 per quintal,” Mr. Anand Popat, Secretary, Saurashtra Ginners Association told Fibre2fashion.
Explaining the supply situation in the market, Mr. Popat said, “The arrival of cotton is low as compared to the number of spinning factories that have become operational. Hence, the farmers are of the opinion that the rates should increase as it occurred last year. Due to this, they are selling their crop intermittently. Moreover, this time the season itself is delayed by about a month and the cotton arrivals are not expected before the mid-November.”
In terms of demand, Mr. Popat informed, “Major export demand is from China. In the domestic market, the demand is from the southern region, especially Tamil Nadu, as the spinning units in that region have become operational.”
Mr. MP Patel, Chairman of Jaydeep Cotton Fibres Pvt. Ltd. added, “The far-eastern countries, where there are spinning mills, are the major export market for India. India exports to Pakistan, Bangladesh, Indonesia, China, Vietnam, Taiwan, etc. Some of these countries produce cotton that is not enough for their domestic consumption, while some others have no cotton production at all.”
Mr. Patel said the current rise in prices has not much benefited the farmers and ginners as the international market has come down considerably.
About future market outlook, Mr. Popat expects the market to see a downward trend once the cotton arrival starts around mid-November. He concedes that there is demand in the international market but the rates are on the lower side. “The bumper crop this year will also lead to a decrease in the price of cotton”, he believes.
Source: ICIS
译文如下：
内增外涨，印度棉价上升
过去几天，国内外市场对棉花的需求大幅上升，致使印度棉价上涨。由于雨季的延迟使新棉上市延期，另外轧棉厂内库存不足也是抬高棉价的一个因素。
尚卡尔-6 棉价已从一个月前的3.8万卢比/356kg大幅上涨至4万卢比/356kg。H-4和LRA棉价均上涨1000卢比/356kg.
Anand Popat，索拉什特拉轧花协会秘书长告诉本网记者“随着工厂又开始正常运行，进口市场需求与国内纺纱市场对棉花的需求同样上涨。棉价上涨幅度大约为100-150卢比/公担”。
在给我们描述当前棉花供应现状时，他说：“目前的棉花供给量还是不够当前纺纱厂的需求。因此，棉农有意抬高棉价，做法如去年那样。他们采取间歇性的兜售棉花的手段。另外，目前新棉上市已延期一个月，新棉上市时间预计为十一月中旬。”
按照需求来说，Popat先生告诉我们，“主要的出口需求还是中国。而国内主要的需求是在南部地区，特别是泰米尔纳德邦，那边大部分的纺纱工厂都保持正常运转。”
帕特尔先生，Jaydeep 棉纤有限公司总经理，说：“远东国家拥有大量的纺纱工厂，是印度棉花主要的出口市场，其中包括巴基斯坦，孟加拉，印度尼西亚，中国，越南，台湾等国。有的国家，是因为其本国的棉花供给不足，也有的国家本身不生产棉花。”
Patel先生说，由于国际市场棉价大幅下调，尽管印度棉价被抬高，棉农和轧棉厂也未能从中牟取大量利润。
展望未来棉市，Popat先生说，当十一月上旬新棉上市的时候，棉价势必将呈现下跌走势。他说国际市场上是有一定的需求量，但是国际市场棉价还是偏低的。另外，他相信，“今年大规模的棉花种植必将导致明年棉花价格走跌。”

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