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欧洲乙二醇现货高价打击市场需求
来源:中国绸都网
| 作者:本网报道
| 时间:2011-08-29 15:11:03
| 订阅《东方纺织》周刊
High Europe MEG spot prices dampen demand - buyers, resellers
LONDON (ICIS)--High European monoethylene glycol (MEG) spot prices are dampening demand, buyers said on Friday.
“Europe is too high...if [our] customers aren’t buying at these numbers, why should we?” a buyer said, adding that the current price “kills demand”.
Bulk price ideas are between €950-1,000/tonne ($1,357-1,429/tonne) CIF (cost, insurance and freight) NWE (northwest Europe), according to ICIS.
Europe is a net importer and has been receiving spot product from the US where prices command a replacement cost of around €940-950/tonne CFR (cost and freight) NWE, a trader explained. A reseller would have to add to this in order to make a profit.
European producers said recently that their prices had stepped up to those of alternative imports, particularly as there are domestic shutdowns planned for September and the fourth quarter.
The lack of bulk material has added an element of tightness to what is otherwise a balanced market, at least for now, players said.
“The structural development of the market is going to be short...there is not much risk of decreasing prices,” a producer warned. Justification for this includes new downstream capacity coming on-stream in Asia, which will compound heightened demand in the high season for fibres in Asia. This could potentially limit the flow of material into Europe, he added.
Sources agreed that it is not a problem to get a truck load but large volumes are harder to come by.
“I can’t find a European producer to supply me,” a bulk customer said.
Some traders are unwilling to take the risk of importing material at this time.
“I would buy at €10/tonne more for European product rather than wait for US material to come in,” one of them said.
With CIF prices equal to or higher than the value of European truck free carrier (FCA), those traders who are regularly involved in selling into the distribution market are now struggling.
“If I buy at €970/tonne CIF I need [to sell at] €1,000/tone FCA, but customers are unwilling to accept this because they don’t have demand,” according to a trader.
Truck buyers are living hand-to-mouth, sources said. Many are now returning to their desks after the holidays and are shocked to see the cost of MEG, so are waiting where possible.
“The risk consumers run is that by postponing purchases, nobody [resellers] is buying in and this could result in a rapid [price] increase,” a producer speculated.
Source: ICIS
译文如下：
欧洲乙二醇现货高价打击市场需求
伦敦（ICIS）---周五，市场人士称欧洲乙二醇现货价格偏高，打击其市场需求。
“欧洲的价格太高…如果我们的顾客不接受这个价格，我们为何要买进呢？”一买家表示，并强调，目前的高价，大大打击了市场需求。
根据ICIS统计显示，大宗货物价格为950-1000欧元/吨（1357-1429美元/吨）CIF西北欧。
欧洲市场是纯粹的进口出售，以往一直从美国市场上进口乙二醇现货，进口价为940-950欧元/吨，CFR 西北欧。为了获取利润，经销商们不得不将价格提高至此价格。
欧洲生产商近期表示，产品价格目前已经提高至进口价格，主要是由欧洲乙二醇工厂停产导致。
市场人士表示，由于缺乏大宗货物原料，导致供应紧俏，至少是使目前的供应情况偏紧。
一生产商强调说“市场结构性发展将会缩短…降价不存在太大风险。”主要由于下游市场新产能不断投入，特别是亚洲市场，对原料的需求大大提高。这很可能导致欧洲市场原料供给不足。
市场人士表示，目前主要是，无大宗纺织原料进入欧洲市场这个问题。
大宗货物买家表示找不到合适的欧洲供应商。
而贸易商们此时也不愿承担风险从国外进口原料。
贸易商表示“与其等待美国原料到来进行生产，我宁愿多出10欧元，直接从欧洲市场购买产品。”
目前CIF价（进口价格）与欧洲FCA（卡车送达价格）持平或略高，这使贸易商们陷入了进退两难的处境。
据一贸易商解释，“如果我的进口价格为970欧元/吨，那我的售价必须是1000欧元/吨，但买家们根本不愿意这样做，因为他们没有市场需求。”
现货买家靠的是现买现卖，市场人士说道，当他们发现MEG成本价格暴增时，他们宁愿持观望态度。
一生产商推测，“冒险留住买家的做法是先定合同，但是延期购买，因为现在市场处于停滞状态，高价买进只会使价格飙升”。
LONDON (ICIS)--High European monoethylene glycol (MEG) spot prices are dampening demand, buyers said on Friday.
“Europe is too high...if [our] customers aren’t buying at these numbers, why should we?” a buyer said, adding that the current price “kills demand”.
Bulk price ideas are between €950-1,000/tonne ($1,357-1,429/tonne) CIF (cost, insurance and freight) NWE (northwest Europe), according to ICIS.
Europe is a net importer and has been receiving spot product from the US where prices command a replacement cost of around €940-950/tonne CFR (cost and freight) NWE, a trader explained. A reseller would have to add to this in order to make a profit.
European producers said recently that their prices had stepped up to those of alternative imports, particularly as there are domestic shutdowns planned for September and the fourth quarter.
The lack of bulk material has added an element of tightness to what is otherwise a balanced market, at least for now, players said.
“The structural development of the market is going to be short...there is not much risk of decreasing prices,” a producer warned. Justification for this includes new downstream capacity coming on-stream in Asia, which will compound heightened demand in the high season for fibres in Asia. This could potentially limit the flow of material into Europe, he added.
Sources agreed that it is not a problem to get a truck load but large volumes are harder to come by.
“I can’t find a European producer to supply me,” a bulk customer said.
Some traders are unwilling to take the risk of importing material at this time.
“I would buy at €10/tonne more for European product rather than wait for US material to come in,” one of them said.
With CIF prices equal to or higher than the value of European truck free carrier (FCA), those traders who are regularly involved in selling into the distribution market are now struggling.
“If I buy at €970/tonne CIF I need [to sell at] €1,000/tone FCA, but customers are unwilling to accept this because they don’t have demand,” according to a trader.
Truck buyers are living hand-to-mouth, sources said. Many are now returning to their desks after the holidays and are shocked to see the cost of MEG, so are waiting where possible.
“The risk consumers run is that by postponing purchases, nobody [resellers] is buying in and this could result in a rapid [price] increase,” a producer speculated.
Source: ICIS
译文如下：
欧洲乙二醇现货高价打击市场需求
伦敦（ICIS）---周五，市场人士称欧洲乙二醇现货价格偏高，打击其市场需求。
“欧洲的价格太高…如果我们的顾客不接受这个价格，我们为何要买进呢？”一买家表示，并强调，目前的高价，大大打击了市场需求。
根据ICIS统计显示，大宗货物价格为950-1000欧元/吨（1357-1429美元/吨）CIF西北欧。
欧洲市场是纯粹的进口出售，以往一直从美国市场上进口乙二醇现货，进口价为940-950欧元/吨，CFR 西北欧。为了获取利润，经销商们不得不将价格提高至此价格。
欧洲生产商近期表示，产品价格目前已经提高至进口价格，主要是由欧洲乙二醇工厂停产导致。
市场人士表示，由于缺乏大宗货物原料，导致供应紧俏，至少是使目前的供应情况偏紧。
一生产商强调说“市场结构性发展将会缩短…降价不存在太大风险。”主要由于下游市场新产能不断投入，特别是亚洲市场，对原料的需求大大提高。这很可能导致欧洲市场原料供给不足。
市场人士表示，目前主要是，无大宗纺织原料进入欧洲市场这个问题。
大宗货物买家表示找不到合适的欧洲供应商。
而贸易商们此时也不愿承担风险从国外进口原料。
贸易商表示“与其等待美国原料到来进行生产，我宁愿多出10欧元，直接从欧洲市场购买产品。”
目前CIF价（进口价格）与欧洲FCA（卡车送达价格）持平或略高，这使贸易商们陷入了进退两难的处境。
据一贸易商解释，“如果我的进口价格为970欧元/吨，那我的售价必须是1000欧元/吨，但买家们根本不愿意这样做，因为他们没有市场需求。”
现货买家靠的是现买现卖，市场人士说道，当他们发现MEG成本价格暴增时，他们宁愿持观望态度。
一生产商推测，“冒险留住买家的做法是先定合同，但是延期购买，因为现在市场处于停滞状态，高价买进只会使价格飙升”。
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