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今年1月,巴西棉花价格因质量下降而下跌

来源:fiber2fashion | 作者:本网报道 | 时间:2019-02-12 09:59:39 | 订阅《东方纺织》周刊


Brazilian cotton prices drop due to lower quality in Jan
Cottonprices in the Brazilian market dropped last month as most of the cotton traded was of lower quality, according to Center for Advanced Studies on Applied Economics (CEPEA). Between December 28 and January 31, the CEPEA/ESALQ cotton Index, with payment in 8 days, dropped 4.03 per cent, closing at 2.9422 BRL per pound on January 31, 2019.
Thepriceaverage in January, at 2.9625 BRL per pound, was 2.08 per cent lower than that from December 2018, the latestreportfrom CEPEA said.
The trading pace was slow during the month as buyers had difficulties in closing new deals because there was a single bidding price for different types of cotton in the batches supplied.
As the exports pace has been firm this season (shipments may have surpassed 120,000 tons in January, according to Secex), higher quality cotton ended up sold to the international market.
Meanwhile, in Mato Grosso, the main cotton-producing state in Brazil, Imea (Mato Gross institute of agricultural economics) estimates the area to be sown with cotton in the 2018-19 crop to total 937,800 hectares. Around 72.42 per cent of the area had been sown until January 25.
According to data from the BBM (Brazilian Commodity Exchange) tabulated by CEPEA, 64.8 per cent of the 2017-18 Brazilian crop, estimated at 2.005 million tons, might have been traded until January 29. Of this total, 57 per cent was allocated to the domestic market, 31.2 per cent to the international market, and 11.8 per cent to flex contracts (exports with an option to sell in the Brazilian market).
For the next season, data indicates that at least 23.5 per cent of the 2018-19 output (forecast at 2.363 million tons by Conab) has been traded, with 48.2 per cent of the total allocated to the domestic market, 24.9 per cent to exports, and 26.8 per cent to flex contracts.
译文如下:
今年1月,巴西棉花价格因质量下降而下跌

根据应用经济学高级研究中心(CEPEA)的数据,由于大部分棉花交易质量较差,上个月巴西市场的棉花价格下跌。在12月28日至1月31日之间,CEPEA/ESALQ棉花指数下跌4.03%,在2019年1月31日收于每磅2.9422 雷亚尔。
CEPEA的最新报告称,1月份的平均价格为每磅2.9625 雷亚尔,比2018年12月的价格低2.08%。
由于在供应的棉花批次中,对不同类型的棉花只有一个单一的投标价格,买家在完成新交易时遇到了困难,因此当月的交易步伐缓慢。
而由于这一季的出口步伐稳健(根据Secex的数据,1月份的发货量可能已超过12万吨),优质棉花最终销往国际市场。
与此同时,马托格罗斯农业经济研究所估计,巴西的主要产棉州马托格罗索在2018-2019年种植棉花的面积将达到93.78万公顷。截至1月25日,该地区播种面积约为72.42%。
根据CEPEA提供的巴西大宗商品交易所(BBM)数据,巴西2017-2018年产量估计为205万吨,其中64.8%可能在1月29日前一直处于交易状态。其中57%分配给国内市场,31.2%分配给国际市场,11.8%分配给弹性合同(出口产品可选择在巴西市场销售)。
数据显示,在下一季,2018-2019年产量中(Conab预计为236.3万吨)至少23.5%已被交易,其中48.2%分配给国内市场,24.9%分配给出口,26.8%分配给弹性合同。

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